Aramon's 2013/14 NFL Picks: Week 13 (Sunday)

Thanksgiving is a day to give thanks to what you have, and we added lots of cash to that list with our clean sweep of winners for all our picks this past Thursday. These great results have really bolstered an already strong season. It's time now to just pad the bankroll as we look to crush the last quarter of the regular season. This Sunday we have a light slate of just a couple of plays, but that's expected as we already had 3 on Thursday. Quantity does not matter as much as quality, and rest assured, I promise every pick I give has a good shot at paying out. So let's add to our good fortune once again today with some good strong plays. Winning's our business and business is good!

For those joining us new this year as well as a reminder to last years followers, here's how I factor the wager amounts. The betting size suggested is based on a bankroll of 100 units. So if you had a bankroll of $1000 and the suggested bet was 5 units, simply divide $1000 by 100 (=$10) and multiply that by 5 (=$50). A running total will be kept of all subsequent weeks picks so that you can keep track of how well/poorly I am doing this season.

Thursday's results :		+11 units won : 0.0 units lost
Day's total plus 10% house vig on losses :		+11.0 units
Total to date :		+14.3 units

Book	Line	Sign-up
	Chicago Bears/Minnesota Vikings take the over total 50 : Bet 5 units	Click Here
	Chicago Bears/Minnesota Vikings take the over total 50 : Bet 5 units	Click Here

Result: Minnesota Vikings 23 : Chicago Bears 20

While the Bears have a very slim chance to be any type of real playoff contender, and the Vikings are long out of that race, this looks to be a high scoring competitive affair. Chicago usually known for a sturdy defense, has actually depended on scoring points to win games this year as they have really not been able to stop anybody from moving the ball against them this year. This includes these Minnesota Vikings that lost a spirited contest to the Bears in the 2nd game of the season 31-30. The trend of scoring as well as getting scored on has led both of these teams to be perpetual over teams this year. The Vikings have hit the over total 9 out of 11 times while the Bears have cashed in on it 8 of 11. With the Bears giving up 28 points per game, and the Vikings giving up even more at 31, these two division rivals playing each other makes for one hell of a offensive show. The Bears have never been able to stop the Vikings RB Adrian Peterson as he has already surpassed 100 yards rushing in 6 games against them. And with the Bears giving up the most rushing yards in the league look for AP to have a monster day. With Peterson running wild that should take all the pressure off of Vikes QB Christian Ponder, and when Ponder has time and is not under duress, he actually is fairly decent, as evidenced by his 21 for 30 passing day last week with 233 yards and 1 TD. Meanwhile the Bears should have no trouble moving the ball against a Viking defense that gives up 401 yards and as mentioned before over 31 points per game. Bears back up QB Josh McCown has far exceeded any expectation since stepping in for Jay Cutler, throwing for 1,106 yards 7TD’s and only 1 Int. With weapons like TE Martellus Bennett, WR Brandon Marshall, and RB Matt Forte, this offense is really built to exploit this rather weak Minnesota defense. And don’t sleep on either of these special teams. With returner extraordinaire Devin Hester on the Bears side, and wideout Cordarrelle Patterson returning kicks for the Vikings, there is a very good possibility they will be very influential in the scoring, Whether it be them returning kicks for a score, or just great field position, I see them being a strong factor here. Patterson has already returned a kickoff for a TD in their first meeting with the Bears this season. These are two teams that are made for high scoring games, should be a fun game to watch as it flies over the total.

Book	Line	Sign-up
	New York Giants +1 over Washington Redskins : Bet 6 units	Click Here
	New York Giants +1 over Washington Redskins: Bet 6 units	Click Here

Result: New York Giants 24 : Washington Redskins 17

This is a division battle between 2 teams that have fell far short from any pre season expectations. The Giants started off with a miserable 6 game losing streak, and the Redskins have hit the skids big time while their star QB of last year Robert Griffin III has been downright awful. The Redskins are out of it, and while the Giants are still not mathematically eliminated from the playoff hunt, their loss to Dallas has put their chances of post season play on life support. The Giants had a nice little 4 game win streak that gave a glimmer of hope before last week’s loss, and although they did comeback to put up a gutsy performance, it was the first time since their win streak started that they actually faced a QB in Tony Romo that was not a scrub. Fortunately for the Giant’s defense, this week they are facing the RGIII of this year and not last, which means they have yet another subpar QB to take advantage of. If the public is still counting on betting on Washington based on the idea of RGIII being a superstar talent, then they won’t be cashing in many tickets. I’m not saying he won’t someday return to an elite status, but it won’t be this week or even this year. He appears to be somewhat injured as well as mentally shot. He has lost the confidence of a lot of his team and his situation is just a train wreck that does not equate to quality play on the field. Washington does have an excellent run game led by RB Alfred Morris, but the Giants defense has been their strength this year, especially against the run only allowing 3.8 yards per carry. If RGIII can’t get anything going I expect as always that the run game for the Redskins will be taken away, not only because the Giants could stack the box, but New York should be able to score fairly easy against a Redskin defense that allows the 5th most yards in the league. If the Redskins fall behind they will need to abandon the run to try and keep pace, that’s where it should turn ugly. Speaking of ugly, the Giants have struggled with QB Eli Manning turning the ball over, but with the return of RB Andre Brown it has opened up a viable running game again which has taken pressure off Manning and has reduced those costly turnover mistakes. Brown is also a viable passing threat out of the backfield that has added even more depth to the offense. With an outstanding receiving corp made up of Victor Cruz, Rueben Randle, and Hakeem Knicks, I expect Manning to finally be able to pass effectively off the run threat and look for some huge plays downfield. I think the Giants keep their very slim playoff hopes alive for one more week at least, and Washington’s troubles continue. Don’t be surprised if RGIII is not long for the starting lineup.