Well Sunday sure didn't go as planned! This was the first Sunday all season we got shut out, and that does sting a little. But we can't dwell on the losses too much because there is still so much more season to go. Today we jump right back up on the horse and begin to recoup the losses of yesterday. All we need to do is keep putting out good quality picks, the rest will take care of itself. Day's like this past Sunday is why it's very important to bet within your bankroll parameters. You see even a bad day cannot wipe you out, still well funded and ready to roll. So let's right the ship starting tonight.
For those joining us new this year as well as a reminder to last years followers, here's how I factor the wager amounts. The betting size suggested is based on a bankroll of 100 units. So if you had a bankroll of $1000 and the suggested bet was 5 units, simply divide $1000 by 100 (=$10) and multiply that by 5 (=$50). A running total will be kept of all subsequent weeks picks so that you can keep track of how well/poorly I am doing this season.
| Sunday's results : | 0.0 units won : -15.0 units lost | |
| Day's total plus 10% house vig on losses : | -16.5 units | |
| Total to date : | -12.5 units |
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Carolina Panthers -3 over New England Patriots : Bet 5 units | Click Here |
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Carolina Panthers -3 over New England Patriots : Bet 5 units | Click Here |
Result: Carolina Panthers 24 : New England Patriots 20
You won't find the Patriots in the underdog role very often but they find themselves in just that position tonight coming in to Carolina, and yes they deserve to be. Carolina in the preseason looked to have a very good team, but they started off the season a little lack luster. Well make no mistake about it, the luster is back on and this Panther team is fast becoming one of the elite's of the league. The Panthers come into this game off of 5 straight wins as well as 5 straight covers. They have been dominating their opponents outscoring them 140-57 in the process. The Carolina defense is just off the charts impressive as they are giving up the fewest yards per game in the NFC, and fewest 1st downs in the whole NFL. On offense QB Cam Newton seems to have finally matured and has developed into a very dangerous offensive weapon. With a cannon for an arm and an ability to run the ball as well as any other QB in the game, he now has the presence on the field not to make the big mistakes that so many times in the past cost his team games. While Carolina's defense is stifling, the best defense against Tom Brady and his potent offense should be the Panthers ability to control the clock and keep the fast paced New England offense off the field. Carolina has controlled the time of possession in their last 8 games and a lot of that may have to do with their ability to convert on 3rd down. They are 3rd best in the league in that department at 46.2%. They also finish drives getting into the endzone 64.3% of the time they make it to the redzone. Of course the Patriots are loaded being led by Tom Brady and with a lot of the offense getting healthy and coming back. But I look at this swarming high pressure defense of Carolina and how they were able to sack the ultra mobile Colin Kaepernick 6 times last week, and I think Brady is going to be in for a hellacious night. Aside from Tom Brady's last game against the Steelers where he really lit them up, he has not looked like the usual Brady this season. I believe Carolina will establish pressure early and never let Brady get into a flow. I also think the well balanced Panther offense will be on the field the majority of the game further negating the powerful New England offense. Carolina is a team to watch going forward this season, and this defense may be the best in the league.
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