All I can say about Monday night's game is....UGH! That was a horrible display of football by both teams. The amount of penalties for both sides made it mind numbing to watch, as did the surprisingly low level of play out of one of the best teams in the league, the Seattle Seahawks. They got outplayed and out gained in every aspect of the game except the all important score. The Rams gained almost 200 yards rushing....almost 3 times their season average! They also sacked Russell Wilson 7 times....really? The Seahawks shot themselves in the foot by making huge plays all night only to have them taken away because of penalties. Just about every characteristic of this game was absolutely backwards and just surreal. I'm sorry but even the best prognosticator could not have predicted what happened in that game Monday night. And with that, we took a tough loss on a game 9 times out of 10 would not even come close to going the way it did. However, it in fact did. So once again we find ourselves as the second half of the regular season starts in a bit of a deficit that we need to correct. No problem, we have a strong play to start week 9 and from here we look to finally get on the run we have come so close to going on so many times this season. With our intelligent wagering to date we are still in striking distance of pulling ahead and while we won't do it with just 1 bet tonight, it takes a win to start the streak and I like what we have on tap for tonight.
For those joining us new this year as well as a reminder to last years followers, here's how I factor the wager amounts. The betting size suggested is based on a bankroll of 100 units. So if you had a bankroll of $1000 and the suggested bet was 5 units, simply divide $1000 by 100 (=$10) and multiply that by 5 (=$50). A running total will be kept of all subsequent weeks picks so that you can keep track of how well/poorly I am doing this season.
| Monday's results : | -8.0 units | |
| 10% house vig on losses : | -0.8 units | |
| Total to date : | -11.0 units |
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Cincinnati Begals -3 over Miami Dolphins : Bet 5 units | Click Here |
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Cincinnati Bengals -3 over Miami Dolphins : Bet 5 units | Click Here |
Result: Miami Dolphins 22 : Cincinnati Bengals 20
We have another case of 2 teams going in totally opposite directions as the second half of the season kicks off tonight. The Miami Dolphins started the season 3-0 and looked to be full of promise, but a 4 game losing streak and erratic play out of their QB Ryan Tannehill has really brought them back to earth and they are really struggling. Meanwhile Cincinnati is flying high at 6-2 and leading their division with their QB Andy Dalton playing lights out in the month of October. Miami looked to be putting a decent game together last week against the Patriots as they led that game 17-3 going into the half, but it was more of a case of the Patriots playing poorly and when they came out for the second half, Miami's inability to protect their QB proved to be the dagger that led to their ultimate demise and a 27-17 Patriot win. That spells big time trouble as the Bengals come roaring into town tonight. Cincy's defense is capable of shutting down even elite offenses of the league, let alone a very mediocre mistake prone Miami one. The Bengals pass rush really should prove to be a huge concern for the Dolphins as the Cincinnati defensive line led by one of the best in the league Geno Atkins will no doubt find their way into Ryan Tannehill's lap quite a few times. The Dolphin run game hasn't been that strong this year and if forced to pass look for some big plays on the Bengals defensive side. Miami has competent wide receivers in Hartline, and the Speedy Mike Wallace, but I don't think it's nearly enough as I don't think the Dolphin offensive line will be able to protect enough for any big plays to be made. On the other hand, the Bengals seem to be cranking up their offense of late to nicely compliment their incredibly stout defense. Bengal QB Andy Dalton has been known in the past to be a hot and cold passer that at times has led to an erratic offense. Well the past 3 weeks he has been absolutely incredible completing 89 of 131 passes for 1246 yards, throwing 11 TD's, and having an off the charts QB rating of 116.8. I feel he sustained this production long enough now to warrant the credit he can do it against this Dolphin defense. Miami has been decent against the run and the Bengals rushing game has been just mediocre, but the Bengals have a passing attack led by wide receiver A.J. Green that I don't believe Miami will have much of an answer for. I think the Bengal's are quickly becoming one of the powerhouses of the AFC along with Denver and the surprising Chiefs, but they have not yet caught the public eye as of yet. Good for us as the points stay within a field goal and should be an easy cover.
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