I have mixed feelings about this past week's games. While we eeked out a tiny 0.6 unit profit for Sunday's games, and a 5.6 unit profit for the week, it really didn't pan out as I had hoped. I actually lost my first max bet in the past 2 seasons. Of course it was bound to happen sooner or later and I should be pleased with my 7-1 record with max bets at stake, but it's always tough to lose something so heavily weighted to the advantage. Well this is part of the game and the bigger picture is, we had a winning week. Something we surely needed and will hopefully build on once again this week. This is where the wagering really gets exciting because the season is in full swing and every team is playing all out now. It's in these next few weeks that we should be able to make our move to some serious profit levels. I like tonight's game to catapult us into the mid season stride. This is where we make our move so its time to lay the wagers and reap the profits!
For those joining us new this year as well as a reminder to last years followers, here's how I factor the wager amounts. The betting size suggested is based on a bankroll of 100 units. So if you had a bankroll of $1000 and the suggested bet was 5 units, simply divide $1000 by 100 (=$10) and multiply that by 5 (=$50). A running total will be kept of all subsequent weeks picks so that you can keep track of how well/poorly I am doing this season.
| Sunday's results : | +2.0 units | |
| 10% house vig on losses : | +0.6 units | |
| Total to date : | -9.5 units |
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Carolina Panthers -6.5 over Tampa Bay Buccaneers : Bet 4 units | Click Here |
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Carolina Panthers -6.5 over Tampa Bay Buccaneers : Bet 4 units | Click Here |
Result: Carolina Panthers 31 : Tampa Bay Buccaneers 13
With Carolina coming into town tonight Tampa is looking for their first win of the season….well meeting the Panthers tonight makes it bad timing for that. While Carolina seems to be finally finding their groove and are moving closer to being the potential playoff bound team predicted of them, the Buccaneers are a mess and seem to have floundered away what was thought to be a positive year for them. Carolina comes into tonight on a 2 game win streak with the offense led by QB Cam Newton playing much better, and with a defense that has been lights out all season. The Panther defense has given up only 13 points per game this season and may have one of the best linebackers in the league in Luke Kuechly. Tampa Bay on the other hand seems to have really struggled under 2nd year head coach Greg Schiano. It seems as if much of the club has not really bought into his system and in turn a team that had great potential to start the season with some good talent, has played flat and seemingly uninspired all year. They released their struggling starting QB Josh Freeman, a player thought to be their franchise player for years to come, and have inserted rookie QB Mike Glennon to lead the team. He actually has performed well in 2 games passing for over 500 yards and 5 TD’s with 3 interceptions. But that was against an Atlanta and Philly team that aren’t known to be big on defense. Glennon has had success throwing to his star wide receiver Vincent Jackson, but the problem is, that’s pretty much all he has thrown too. 36 out of his 87 passes has been targeted to Jackson. Now that there is a few games to study on this young QB I expect this talented Carolina defense to either take this safety valve away from him and force him to throw to other options, or force him into mistakes and take the ball away. If I can see this, you can damn sure count on the Panther D to key on it. To add to Tamp Bay’s woes this week their star running back Doug Martin is hurt and will be out. This is a huge blow as he is by far their best offensive player. The bottom line is, not only is Carolina a better team but they are finally playing that way and they come in to tonight’s game much more healthy than the Bucs, and with momentum. Tampa Bay’s slight resurgence under their rookie QB gets knocked down a peg tonight as Carolina proves they are for real, and the Bucs still do not get their first win of the season.
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