Week 7 is here with a bang! After Seattle basically played out the game exactly as we predicted for us on Thursday for a nice win, we storm into this Sunday with huge wagering opportunities! This is the kind of week that one waits for all season, well we got it here in week 7. Of course if this week's wagers don't go as expected we will see ourselves in a hole hard pressed to climb out of, but in order to make a profit in this game you must trust in the ability of finding the advantage and bet with it, and that is exactly what we have here. I couldn't be more confident that the odds our largely in our favor today, and with that I offer up not 1 but 2 max bets today! I forecast a great day no matter what the weather. As a side note, going back to last year, I have yet to lose a max bet. Let the streak continue on!
For those joining us new this year as well as a reminder to last years followers, here's how I factor the wager amounts. The betting size suggested is based on a bankroll of 100 units. So if you had a bankroll of $1000 and the suggested bet was 5 units, simply divide $1000 by 100 (=$10) and multiply that by 5 (=$50). A running total will be kept of all subsequent weeks picks so that you can keep track of how well/poorly I am doing this season.
| Thursday's results : | +4.0 units | |
| 10% house vig on losses : | 0.0 units | |
| Total to date : | -11.1 units |
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Dallas Cowboys/Philadelphia Eagles take the over total 55.5 : Bet 10 units |
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Dallas Cowboys/ Philadelphia Eagles take the over total 55.5 : Bet 10 units |
Result: Dallas Cowboys 17 : Philadelphia Eagles 3
This is just 1 of 2 of our wagered games today that have the makings of video game type scores. This game between these two division rivals is the blend of very good offenses going up against bad defenses to make up the perfect storm of a crazy high scoring affair. The Cowboys coming off a 48 point scoring effort in a close loss the Broncos are going to absolutely shred this Eagle defense that is especially week against the pass. The Philly defense has given up 314.5 passing yards per game this year which ranks 31st in the league, while giving up an average of almost 30 points per game which ranks 29th. That should be making the mouth of Dallas QB Tony Romo water as he comes off his 500 yard, 5 touchdown passing day in last week’s game. Cowboy star receiver Dez Bryant will have a day for the ages against this Eagle secondary, there is nobody on the field that can remotely come close to covering him, watch for Dez to possibly set receiving records today. With the Eagles fast paced offense it will give the Cowboys plenty of time on the field on offense to put up some big numbers. But they won’t be the only ones. This Philadelphia team seems to be hitting stride offensively once again and should be able to light up a very suspect Dallas defense as well, especially with the Cowboy’s top defensive player and pass rusher Demarcus Ware being hurt. Philly QB Michael Vick being replaced by backup Nick Foles is what I believe to be a boost to this Eagles offense. While not as athletic as Vick, Foles is probably a better manager and more accurate passer for this dynamic and fast paced squad. With NFL leading rusher RB LaSean McCoy and wideout DeSean Jackson having monster years, this offense scores often and quickly averaging close to 28 points a game. Going up a Dallas defense that ranks 30th overall in defense and 29th against the pass, I see very little resistance to a well balanced quick strike offense such as Philly’s. As A matter of fact I think the only defense either team has is a good offense. So expect fireworks and a crazy shootout as these teams battle for dominance in their division.
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Jacksonville Jaguars +9.5 over San Diego Chargers : Bet 4 units |
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Jacksonville Jaguars +9.5 over San Diego Chargers : Bet 4 units |
Result: San Diego Chargers 24 : Jacksonville Jaguars 6
Upset alert! Even if the winless Jaguars can’t outright beat these Chargers they have been playing much better of late and should really keep this game somewhat competitive. But if there was time for Jacksonville to get there first win, it really could be this week. While the Chargers have been exceeding most observers expectations this year, due mostly by the outstanding play of their QB Philip Rivers, this week may find them looking a little flat. After a gutsy performance in last weeks 19-9 win over the Colts, the Chargers find themselves traveling across the country to try and get up for a winless team in what equates to an early morning game for a west coast team. The Chargers have really found themselves struggling to get motivated against teams with losing records going only 2-6 against the spread in their last 8 times in this position. While this Charger team that has ranked 4th in offensive efficiency, they find themselves dead last in the defensive efficiency department. This really gives this Jaguar team a fighting chance to keep this game close and possibly win for their first time this year. Jacksonville has performed better with Chad Henne now at QB, and this has helped the emergence this year of very talented wideout Justin Blackmon as he has over 100 yards receiving in 2 straight games. With Maurice Jones- Drew looking a bit more impressive running the ball lately the Jags actually have a viable offensive scheme. The defense while not being able to stop the unstoppable Peyton Manning led Bronco offense, did in fact make a few impressive 3rd down stops last week. Look for that to continue this week as they gain confidence against a lesser opponent than the Denver Broncos. This is a good time to take the Jaguars, they are improving but have yet to crack the win column so they still get a favorable amount of points. I like this to be a good game and possibly an outright upset if not just a cover.Book | Line | Sign-up |
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San Francisco 49ers -3.5 over Tennessee Titans : Bet 6 units |
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San Francisco 49ers -3.5 over Tennessee Titans : Bet 6 units |
Result: San Francisco 49ers 31 : Tennessee Titans 17
The Titans got off to a 3-1 start and looked good playing mistake free football. That has not been the case since their starting QB Jake Locker went down and Ryan Fitzpatrick has taken over. They have now lost 2 straight and have turned the ball over 5 times in these past 2 games. This has lead to an offense that has now slumped to a dismal 29th in the league. What makes matters worse is their main running threat RB Chris Johnson has only averaged 25 yards per game the last 3. This Tennessee team is not the same as a couple of weeks ago and its going to show as a now hot 49er team rolls into town. After dropping 2 in a row the 49ers have now won 3 in a row and they are looking much more like what was expected in the beginning of the season. Last week San Fran’s QB Colin Kaepernick had his best game of the season so far, and the run game has been on point with RB Frank Gore averaging 111 yards per game over the last 3. Even though the 49ers have played a bit more conservatively as of late, they have still managed to put up 30+ points per game during this 3 game win streak. They won’t need that many to beat and cover against this now quietly struggling Tennessee Titans team.Book | Line | Sign-up |
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Denver Broncos/Indanapolis Colts take the over total 56 : Bet 10 units |
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Denver Broncos/Indanapolis Colts take the over total 56 : Bet 10 units |
Result: Indianapolis Colts 39 : Denver Broncos 33
This could possibly be our best bet of the whole season. Peyton Manning comes back to Indianapolis today for the first time since leaving 2 years ago and its going to get crazy. The Colts plan on honoring Peyton before the game in a ceremony celebrating his 14 years as arguably the best all time best QB in their history. But once that whistle blows to start the game the sentiment is gone and Manning is going for the throat. Colts owner Jim Irsay took what I perceive as some cheap shots at Peyton this week saying he thinks they should have won more than 1 Superbowl during Mannings tenure. It was a bit of a knock on Peyton’s lack of success in the post season as compared to the regular season. Well Mr. Irsay, today is the regular season, and Peyton and his boys are coming into town locked and loaded and are going to raise holy hell I guarantee it. Everyone of the Broncos games have gone over this year with and average game score now of 46-35 and I don’t see it being much different today. Nobody has slowed this Bronco offense down this year and this Colt defense will be no different. What makes this game so mouth watering to the over bet besides Peyton’s incredible offense is their weak pass defense going against a motivated Andrew Luck. Luck had a lot of weight on his shoulders being Manning’s successor in Indianapolis, and he has responded amazingly well going 15-7 in his first 22 games. He is a true budding superstar and along with his immensely talented receiving core in Reggie Wayne and T.Y. Hilton, they should hang a big number themselves on the scoreboard today. If they can get their running game going with RB Trent Richardson today, they may have a chance to keep this game close by keeping Manning off the field. But the Broncos have yet to score less than 4 offensive touchdowns in any game this year, today, especially today, will be no different. Both teams will score over 30 and look for a statement game from Mr. Peyton Manning.
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