We are officially rolling once again. With our latest upset cover prediction with the Giants hitting, we are back in the money. Today we have 3 picks that should see us get comfortably in the black and keep us there for the season. No upsets today, just taking a big favorite and one that should be. Sometimes taking the chalk (favorite) is the best move for the money. This Sunday's games see's us only involved in 2 games but with 3 plays. But as you'll see, we don't need to bet on a lot of games to get paid!
New England Patriots -1 over New Orleans Saints Bet 4 units
The Saints come into this game looking very impressive. QB Drew Brees has been outstanding and new defensive coordinator Rob Ryan has put together a very decent defensive squad that the Saints have lacked over the last few seasons. At 5-0 the Saints have opened up a nice 3.5 game lead in their NFC South division already. All that being said there is something that sticks in my mind right off the bat when looking at this game, superstar QB Tom Brady, genius head coach Bill Belichick, playing at home with less than a field goal as a favorite. That is amazing as I can't recall in recent, and even not so recent history where that has happened.The Patriots are leading their AFC East division as well at 4-1, with that one loss coming in a bad game against the Bengals last week. This makes for a very dangerous home team Patriot team today. New England does not string together bad performances, and that goes the same for their QB Brady. The Patriots are going to have to play a near flawless game against these Saints to beat them, but tha's exactly what I expect from New England as that is there calling card. With the New England offense starting to get healthy again I would expect them to be able to string together some nice drives to keep that explosive Saints offense off the field. Also keep an eye on Patriot coner back Aqib Talib, as he will be a very busy man covering either or Saints tight end Graham or wideout Colston. Talib has been excellent this year and how he handles these receivers will go along way in how the Patriots fair today. I love the Pats at home only needing a win without a monster handicap. Times are changing, but not that much and not today.
Seattle Seahawks -11 over Tennessee Titans Bet 8 units
Seattle Seahawks/Tennessee Titans take the over total 41 Bet 4 units
There is no place like home and that statement has never been more clear then when referring to the Seahawks and their absolute utter dominance playing at their home field.The numbers are astounding with them winning their last 10 in a row, and 17 out of their last 20 against the spread there.They are also 5 out of 6 for winning as double digit home favorites. Its asking a lot of the Titans to come into Seattle and even compete against a Seahawk team that is averaging 37-10 wins at home this year. Especially with Tennessee needing to depend on back up QB Ryan Fitzpatrick to go up against this Seattle pass defense that ranks 3 rd in the league. Titans will have to try to get a running game going to pull some pressure off this collossal mismatch of pass offense vs pass defense, but Titan running back Chris Johnson has not been able to get anything going as of late only rushing for 17 and 21 yards his last 2 games. I think this game is going to be an old fashion beat down with Seattle's defense really mauling this Titans team today. I still take the over however due to the fact I think the Seattle offense is potent enough to put up big points, and their defense could add to the total. And even if they don't they will be giving the Seahawks great field position all day. I believe Seattle will easily match the average points they have put up so far at home this year, and even though I predict a blowout, I do believe Tennessee will muster up a few points. But believe me, Seattle coming off their first loss and being at home, expect them to put on a show of force on both sides of the ball. 41 may be even too low a number for the Seahawks alone today.
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