What can I say, this has been a horrific run the last few weeks. Definitely the toughest stretch I have seen. Some very strange happenings in Sunday's games really hurt us yesterday. Between missed field goals, int's in the endzone, and unbelievably Seattle collecting 4 int's vs Arizona and not only didn't cover, they outright lost....at home! I'm not sure what I did to tick off the football gods, but its been tough going the last couple of weeks. Well, we have a chance to chip away tonight and work on salvaging the season. We have a great chance for a win tonight, and that could start us of on a postive run of epic proportions to equal to this negative one we have hit. There is no quit in us as we move forward with the start of our winning streak!
For those joining us new this year as well as a reminder to last years followers, here's how I factor the wager amounts. The betting size suggested is based on a bankroll of 100 units. So if you had a bankroll of $1000 and the suggested bet was 5 units, simply divide $1000 by 100 (=$10) and multiply that by 5 (=$50). A running total will be kept of all subsequent weeks picks so that you can keep track of how well/poorly I am doing this season.
| Sunday's results : | 0.0 units won : -22.0 units lost | |
| Day's total plus 10% house vig on losses : | -24.2 units | |
| Total to date : | -35.4units |
Book
|
Line
|
Sign-up
|
 |
San Francisco 49ers -14 over Atlanta Falcons: Bet 4 units | Click Here |
 |
San Francisco 49ers -14 over Atlanta Falcons : Bet 4 units | Click Here |
Result:
This is a huge line as far as NFL standards go, and I think it's not even close to being enough. With Seattle's shocking loss yesterday a 49er win tonight gets them into the playoffs. Now I know just a straight up San Fran win won't win us our wager as there are those 14 points to cover as well, but the 49ers have absolutely destroyed every mediocre to bad team they have played this year. It's being kind to categorize Atlanta as mediocre this year. The Falcons looked to have great potential going into this year as they were loaded with talent, but they have fallen flat with either top talent like receiver Julio Jones going down to injury, or top acquisition RB Stephen Jackson under performing. With no real running game and a passing game stymied by injury, defense this year have been able to contain Atlanta QB Matt Ryan even with future hall of famer Tony Gonzalez as his main go to guy. And this 49er defense is one of the best in the league. The immobile Ryan is going to be in for a long day against this San Francisco pass rush, and with little to no run game expected out of the Falcon offense, this is going to get ugly. The 49ers on the other hand have one of the most balanced offense attacks in the league. With RB Frank Gore already having rushed for over 1000 yards, and dangerous receiving threats all over the field in Boldin, Davis, and Crabtree, and a dynamic, mobile rifle armed QB in Colin Kaepernick, expect a weak Atlanta defense to be run over all night. The 49ers even with all those offensive weapons have still been hard pressed to light it up at times, but never against sub standard competition. When playing teams at or below .500, the 49ers are averaging 33 points per game while giving up just 13. And while is hard to measure emotion in a quantitive sense, the 49ers could be playing their last game in Candlestick Park before moving to there new stadium next season. There should be huge emotion and lots of noise coming from the 49er crowd tonight. This can only make it harder for a Falcon team destined to struggle anyway as the crowd should make it very hard for the visiting underdogs to operate their offense. I feel this is going to be a San Francisco statement game at the price of the Atlanta Falcons.
No comments:
Post a Comment