Well that sure didn't go as planned Sunday. The Patriots didn't even start playing until the last quarter, and the Lions go up 14-0 in a blizzard, look like their cruising, then give up 28 points in the 4th quarter. Not a good day for us at all. But tonight's game is the one that makes the week a winner. This is what I've been waiting for all week. As much as I wanted it to blast us through to a record high week, after yesterday's disappointments it can't do that, but it will turn our week into positive cash flow and that's what's most important. We have 2 large bets on 1 game tonight with one of those being a max bet. So sit back and enjoy tonight as we erase all those bad memories of Sunday.
For those joining us new this year as well as a reminder to last years followers, here's how I factor the wager amounts. The betting size suggested is based on a bankroll of 100 units. So if you had a bankroll of $1000 and the suggested bet was 5 units, simply divide $1000 by 100 (=$10) and multiply that by 5 (=$50). A running total will be kept of all subsequent weeks picks so that you can keep track of how well/poorly I am doing this season.
| Sunday's results : | +5.0 units won : -14.0 units lost | |
| Day's total plus 10% house vig on losses : | -10.4 units | |
| Total to date : | +10.2units |
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Dallas Cowboys +1 over Chicago Bears: Bet 10 units | Click Here |
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Dallas Cowboys +1 over Chicago Bears : Bet 10 units | Click Here |
Result:
The Cowboys roll into Chicago tonight looking to keep themselves perched atop the NFC East with a win, while the Bears at 6-6 are just looking for a win to stay relevant in the playoff hunt. I'd say it's probably more of a must win for the Bears but I don't find that as much of a factor in this game as much as the putrid record of 2-9-1 the Bears have against the spread. They also have not fared well against other NFC teams going just 3-6. Every game in just a 16 game NFL season is a must win, so if you didn't win em' before, it doesn't make you any more likely to win em' when the pressure is on. Especially against a Dallas team that dare I say is slightly underrated. Quite opposite to Chicago's record against the spread Dallas has been cashing in quite well at 8-4 and especially good as an underdog at 5-1 against the spread. These teams are built to score as they have potent offenses but are weak on the defensive side. But as well as Josh McCown has done at QB filling in for the injured Jay Cutler, Dallas has a huge edge in the QB department with Tony Romo as he is just lighting it up this year putting up MVP type numbers of over 3,000 yards passing with 24TD's and just 8 INT's. The Bears strength is their offense and that is what has won them their games. But what is to be done when Chicago goes against an offense even more potent than theirs, with an all pro veteran QB in Tony Romo leading the way? I say the Bears will try to match up score for score, but will eventually falter as Dallas is the superior team, they will make mistakes and like always fall short as Dallas pulls ahead in the second half of this game to take control for the win.
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Dallas Cowboy/Chicago Bears take the over total 47.5: Bet 8 units | Click Here |
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Dallas Cowboys/Chicago Bears take the over total 47.5 : Bet 8 units | Click Here |
Result:
This game should be quite a fun watch for a while. You have 2 loaded powerful offenses going against each others suspect defenses. I have already told you who I think will eventually win this game, but getting there should be pretty wild. Chicago in years past was known for its strong defensive presence, the "Monsters Of The Midway" was what they were once dubbed. Well those days are gone. They haven't been able to stop anybody this season giving up close to 28 points a game. With a Cowboy team coming into town with the likes of tight end Jason Witten, WR's Dez Bryant, Terrance Williams, Miles Austin, and Cole Beasley, all being led by veteran all pro QB Tony Romo, you can expect those average points surrendered to climb just a little higher tonight. To compliment the ridiculous amount of weapons Dallas has in the passing game, they now have a very strong running game led by RB Demarco Murray going against a Bears defense ranked worst in the league giving up 5 yard per carry. This is a recipe for long drives that can be opened up by long play action passes set up by the run. But don't sleep on this Chicago offense. Even though they are going with back up QB Josh McCown again, he has been very good at the helm. And with weapons like WR's Brandon Marshall and Alshon Jeffery going up against Dallas defense prone to giving up points as well at just over 25 per game, I can definitely see McCown having a good day. Bears running game is pretty good to led by the versatile RB Matt Forte. He should be able to get his rushing yards for as long as they can stay within a score of Dallas. Once Dallas gets a little separation, and I think they will, it will be mostly passing by Chicago. That will lead to big points in this game, but one I feel Dallas will dominate late. Should be entertaining for sure.
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