What another fantastic result we had in Monday night's game! Not only did we predict a win by Seattle, but we also correctly forecasted the methodical beatdown of the New Orleans Saints. This win is very satisfying because we got it completely right amongst a huge majority of naysayers, and we added another +8 units to our rapidly growing bankroll in the process. It is a great feeling to be sitting at over a 20% profit with another month of regular season games to go, not to mention the post season playoffs. So we march into week 14 of this NFL season full of momentum, confidence, and a fat wallet. Let's kick this week off with more of the same!
For those joining us new this year as well as a reminder to last years followers, here's how I factor the wager amounts. The betting size suggested is based on a bankroll of 100 units. So if you had a bankroll of $1000 and the suggested bet was 5 units, simply divide $1000 by 100 (=$10) and multiply that by 5 (=$50). A running total will be kept of all subsequent weeks picks so that you can keep track of how well/poorly I am doing this season.
| Monday's results : | +8.0 units won : 0.0 units lost | |
| Day's total plus 10% house vig on losses : | +8.0 units | |
| Total to date : | +22.8 units |
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Jacksonville Jaguars/Houston Texans take the under total of 42.5 : Bet 2 units | Click Here |
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Jacksonville Jaguars/Houston Texans take the under total of 42.5 : Bet 2 units | Click Here |
Result:
Not sure how excited anybody's getting about this game featuring 2 teams that have combined for just 5 wins this season. The funny thing about it is the Jaguars at 3-9 are pretty much what they were expected to be before the season started. As a matter of fact, after starting the season at 0-8 the Jags despite their overall dismal record have started to exceed some peoples expectations lately. The Texans on the other hand were predicted before the season to be an AFC powerhouse, and after starting the season 2-0 looked like it may be the case. However a horrid 10 game losing streak has destroyed the season for Houston and has them possibly in line for the 1st pick of next years draft awarded to the team with the worst record in the NFL. So it's plain to see why this game does not really instill much excitement to the general public. But believe it or not, regardless of how poorly these teams have played this year there is an advantage to wager on here. And that's just it, we will be betting on the dumpster fire of a game this will be as two teams flail ineptly at one another. They just won't score many points. The Jaguars while playing much better of late, have done that while playing on the road. They are home tonight and they are abysmal at home averaging only 7 points a game and are 0-5 straight up and against the spread. They are at the bottom of the league in yards per game as well as points scored. While the Jaguars are limited offensively, if there is still one thing daunting about this floundering Texan team, it's their defense. Led by their defensive star J.J. Watt this Texans pass rush is good and can mess with this league worst Jaguars offense. The Texans have not fared that well offensively either. Having to replace the totally turnover prone QB Matt Schaub with Case Keenum has helped, but Keenum while not throwing as many INT's has only been completing around 54% of his throws. If the Texans struggle to get their run game going with RB Ben Tate, than look for a lot of 3rd and long situations that will not be converted to first downs. Even the best offensive weapon the Texans have WR Andre Johnson was held in check with only 2 catches for 36 yards 2 weeks ago when he faced this Jaguar defense. Due to the lack of potency in other areas of the Texan offense the Jag's were able to stifle Johnson by double teaming him with a corner and safety. If for some reason the Texans can find a running game, they may be able to move the ball, but with very slow time consuming drives. This should really go a long way in keeping this score down. The only way this game see's 40 points is if their are costly turnovers for points. Otherwise look for a good showing by the Texans defense, and 2 offenses just playing to not lose the game instead of trying to win it.
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