Well we did it, we broke through with a nice win last week to end the regular season! Now all we need to do is win theses next few weeks of playoff football and we can call this season a success. It won't be easy due to that horrific 3 week stretch we went through, but last week's win has breathed new life into our chances of roaring back to our winning ways. Today see's some great games but just some modest plays. That's okay, we win these and we just chip away. More games tomorrow could see us on the verge of a complete turnaround. But it needs to start today, and so playoff NFL football begins, as does our march towards redemption!
For those joining us new this year as well as a reminder to last years followers, here's how I factor the wager amounts. The betting size suggested is based on a bankroll of 100 units. So if you had a bankroll of $1000 and the suggested bet was 5 units, simply divide $1000 by 100 (=$10) and multiply that by 5 (=$50). A running total will be kept of all subsequent weeks picks so that you can keep track of how well/poorly I am doing this season.
| Sunday's results : | +19.0 units won : -7.0 units lost | |
| Day's total plus 10% house vig on losses : | +11.3 units | |
| Total to date : | -28.5units |
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Kansas City Chiefs -1 over Indianapolis Colts: Bet 3 units | Click Here |
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Kansas City Chiefs -1 over Indianapolis Colts : Bet 3 units | Click Here |
Result:
It's been widely believed that this game will be the coming out party for Colts young star QB Andrew Luck. Last year in his rookie season he led the Colts to an unexpected playoff berth but were bounced out in the first game. This season with another solid year under his belt Luck and his Colts meet a team they seemed to soundly beat just a couple of weeks ago 23-7. This should be just what the Colts need to get to the next round of the playoffs....right? No, I don't think so. When these teams met a few weeks ago the Chiefs very uncharacteristically turned the ball over 4 times with one being an Alex Smith INT in the end zone. It is highly unlikely that will happen again. And if that's the case, the Chiefs win this game. It starts with the Chiefs being the best road team in the NFL with a 7-1 record, playing at Indy does not hamper them in the least. These teams are fairly evenly matched, however the edge in defense definitely belongs to KC, as does the nod go to the Chiefs favor in coaching with Andy Reid. I believe their first meeting was not a true representation of the match up and any adjustments needed to be made would be more likely favor the Chiefs side and their coaching staff. While the Colts are loaded with talent on the offensive side of the ball, they have been far less dynamic since the loss of WR Reggie Wayne. And if the Chiefs win the turnover battle like they normally do, I expect them to pound the Colts with a ball control offense led By QB Alex Smith and superstar RB Jamaal Charles keeping the Colts scoring opportunities to a minimum. This game will come down to who has the better defense, and with Kansas City sending 5 of their defensive starters to the pro bowl this year, my money is on the Chiefs getting it done once again on the road.
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New Orleans Saints +2.5 over Philadelphia Eagles: Bet 3 units | Click Here |
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New Orleans Saints +2.5 over Philadelphia Eagles : Bet 3 units | Click Here |
Result:
Why would I take the Saints a team that has not been able to win on the road to beat what looks like to be a hot Philadelphia Eagles team playing at home? It's simple, the Saints are just a better team and they are getting points. The Eagles, as good as they have been have really not beaten any playoff caliber teams aside from Green Bay, and that was with the Packers not having Aaron Rodgers. I'm not saying the Eagles have not been good, but their division was a mess this year and they barely pulled out of it with the lead. It must be noted that Philly QB Nick Foles has been fantastic throwing for 27 TD's with only 2 picks, and RB LeSean McCoy has been the best back in the league this year leading a very potent Eagle offense. But it should be just as notable to realize that Philly's pass defense ranks worst in the league going against one of the best QB's to play the game in Drew Brees with an offense that is one of the most prolific in the league. The only reason I don't weigh this game more heavily in the Saints favor is because of their struggles on the road, but their is no doubt in my mind they should be the favorite. The much improved Saint defense could prove to be an obstacle for this surging Eagle defense as this will be a much stiffer test than the Eagles have had to face in a while. The Saints proved they can battle with the best of them on the road in a close fought contest they narrowly lost to the Carolina Panthers 2 weeks ago. The New Orleans defense was outstanding against one of the top teams in the league. Even with the Saints having their troubles on the road, the game conditions while chilly, but manageable, will be dry and little wind. I think it has little impact on the game's results. In a playoff scenario, I much rather put my money on a Drew Brees led team loaded with talent than a Philly team, led by a good QB in Foles, but being in his first pressure playoff situation. The better team, with the all pro experienced QB, getting points, yup, Saints all the way.
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