We pulled out a small win for the first week of the playoffs last week, not nearly what we hoped for, but at least we moved in the right direction. This week is huge for our season totals. Over the next 2 days we may actually put enough in play that we could see us primed for a positive jump the last week of the playoffs into the Superbowl. So this week is pivotal and damn do I like our chances. Great games today should set up an even better day tomorrow, so sit back and enjoy the games as we make our move for the cash!
For those joining us new this year as well as a reminder to last years followers, here's how I factor the wager amounts. The betting size suggested is based on a bankroll of 100 units. So if you had a bankroll of $1000 and the suggested bet was 5 units, simply divide $1000 by 100 (=$10) and multiply that by 5 (=$50). A running total will be kept of all subsequent weeks picks so that you can keep track of how well/poorly I am doing this season.
| Sunday's results : | +8.0 units won : -6.0 units lost | |
| Day's total plus 10% house vig on losses : | +1.4 units | |
| Total to date : | -27.4 units |
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:Seattle Seahawks -8.5 over New Orleans Saints Bet 8 units | Click Here |
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Seattle Seahawks -8.5 over New Orleans Saints: Bet 8 units | Click Here |
Result:
The Saints did exactly as we thought they would last week and played well on the road. Well that was against Philly, a team that I think was decent but more smoke and mirrors playing in a weak division racking up wins against non playoff caliber opponents. It's a whole different animal the Saints are facing up in Seattle today, and I do mean "animal". It's a well known fact that the Seahawks are damn near unbeatable playing on their home turf. The Saints already experienced this in week 13 as they went up to Seattle and got absolutely pasted 34-7 in a totally dominating fashion. Well I'll tell you what, that may look like a field day to what may occur today. The weather in Seattle today looks to be horrendous with rain, most likely heavy, and gusty winds. For a team like the Saints that doesn't bode well. Their success largely depends on their QB Drew Brees to be able to pass effectively. I wasn't worried about him doing it in chilly weather last week against a very mediocre to poor defense in Philadelphia, but wind and rain is different, and going up against one of the most punishing defenses in the league, it doesn't look good. And with the Saints improved defense decimated by injuries in their secondary, this supremely balanced offensive attack of the Seahawks led by the versatile QB Russell Wilson, and the "Beast Mode" running of Marshawn Lynch, Seattle should pound the ball down the field quite often. The passing conditions will be bad for both QB's, but with Seattle's Wilson being able to utilize his legs and add to to the running game, not to mention Brees will have to deal with weather as well as deafening noise, all the advantages point to a dominating performance and easy win by Seattle.
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New England Patriots -7 over Indianapolis Colts: Bet 4 units | Click Here |
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New England Patriots -7 over Indianapolis Colts : Bet 4 units | Click Here |
Result:
Damn did Indy QB Andrew Luck make a statement last week. Down by 28 points in the 3rd quarter he was able to forget about the 3 picks he made earlier and just took control of his offense and led one of the greatest comebacks in playoff history. It sure made me give him the respect he deserves at being one of the best young QB's in the league right now, but it also showed me the Colts may be in trouble this week. As good as the Colts comeback was last week, they will not get that chance again this week. If Luck, who has the propensity for picks as well as making big plays, tosses the ball like he did last week against the Chiefs this week against the Patriots, there will be no comeback, it will be an absolute blowout loss for the Colts. The Patriots at home are dangerous. A Patriot team with a bye week giving head coach Bill Belichick extra time to prepare is lethal. Mistakes like the Colts made last week will not be overcome this week. If you give Patriot QB Tom Brady extra chances to get the ball, the Pats will run the score up. What makes this Patriot team so amazing this year is the many phases of adaptation they have had to go through this season due to starting the season with a whole new receiving corp, then had to deal with injuries on various different occasions. The team playing today seems to be peaking at just the right time. The personnel they field today has been what they have been going with for a few weeks now and it is gelling nicely. If the Patriots can control the pass rush of the Indy's Mathis, Brady should be able to carve the Colts up based of the Pat's extremely effective running game. I also think a key match up to watch today will be the Pats shut down corner back Talib on Indy's WR T.Y. Hilton. If Talib has success, which I think he will, Luck may just find himself making a mistake or two again this week. The only difference being, against Belichick and the Patriots, there will be no comeback from them. I think the Patriots prove today that they are still a force in the AFC, and while the Colts are a team on the rise, they aren't quite there yet.
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