Well we did it, we had a very strong and profitable week last weekend to put us back in contention for a season win. We fell just a 1 point shy in the Seahawks/ Saints game from having a perfect weekend and totally erasing all deficit. No matter, we did well and we move on to some great games today. We actually have 3 plays on 2 games today which if all goes as predicted will bring us into the Superbowl with no deficit. So every week has been big for us lately as we are making a big surge in our comeback, but none is bigger than today's games. We have won 3 weeks in a row and we must do it again. It's NFL playoff football and damn is it an exciting time! Now let's cash in on it once again!
For those joining us new this year as well as a reminder to last years followers, here's how I factor the wager amounts. The betting size suggested is based on a bankroll of 100 units. So if you had a bankroll of $1000 and the suggested bet was 5 units, simply divide $1000 by 100 (=$10) and multiply that by 5 (=$50). A running total will be kept of all subsequent weeks picks so that you can keep track of how well/poorly I am doing this season.
| Sunday's results : | +18.0 units won : 0.0 units lost | |
| Day's total plus 10% house vig on losses : | +18.0 units | |
| Total to date : | -15.2 units |
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New England Patriots +5.5 over Denver Broncos: Bet 7 units | Click Here |
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New England Patriots +5.5 over Denver Broncos: Bet 7 units | Click Here |
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New England Patriots/Denver Broncos take the over total 56.5: Bet 3 units | Click Here |
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New England Patriots/Denver Broncos take the over total 56.5: Bet 3 units | Click Here |
Result:
What a game. The 2 most iconic quarterbacks in the league facing off in the AFC championship to see who goes to the Superbowl....It's Manning/Brady bowl once again. These great QB's come into this game leading teams that have taken far different paths to get here. The Manning led Broncos just torched through the competition this season with a high flying offense that scored big which subsequently led Peyton to single season records in TD passes and most passing yards for a season. The Brady led Patriots on the other hand just ground out the season overcoming personnel changes in what seemed to be week to week. Brady struggled early with a brand new corp of receivers and without injured star TE Rob Gronkowski. But the Patriots adjusted on the fly every week and came up with a way to win through all the adversity. Patriot head coach Bill Belichick has been called a genius in the past, but this season may just have been his finest coaching job of his career. It's no easy feat to go into Denver and beat that offensive beast at home but if anyone has the answer it's the Patriots. I think both teams are going to get their points today. While Denver is almost unstoppable with Peyton's offense on the field with what seems like an endless supply of weapons, the Bronco defense is susceptible to giving up points. These teams met in the regular season with the Patriots pulling off a stunning come from behind win 34-31. The Patriots spotted the Broncos a 24 point lead in that game largely to some real sloppy play that the Broncos could capitalize on, I don't see that happening again. Denver sacked Brady 3 times in that game, 2 coming from Denver's star LB Vonn Miller, well he's out for this game and I don't see any real pressure coming at Brady today. Couple that with the emergence of Patriots RB LaGarrete Blount who has been an absolute beast running for 643 yard the last 3 games. This should open up huge opportunities for a Patriot offense that while not having as many receiving threats as Denver, will have favorable match ups due to the attention this pounding running game brings. Which brings me to the best defense New England has against the Bronco powerhouse offense, keep them off the field. While the Patriots are a better defensive unit than the Broncos, they will be hard pressed to stop Denver's multiple weapons. So the Patriots run game and play action passing off it should keep Manning on the sideline enough for New England to rack up not only scoring, but all important time of possession. I think both teams will score quite often today, but I think the Patriots having the ability to hold the ball longer than the Broncos will be the key to a close but high scoring affair that should favor the Patriots.
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San Francisco 49ers +3.5 over Seattle Seahawks: Bet 5 units | Click Here |
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San Francisco 49ers +3.5 over Seattle Seahawks : Bet 5 units | Click Here |
Result:
Many would think it crazy to bet against the Seahawks at home, especially when playing a team that they already handily beat this year up in Seattle 29-3. Well this is not the same 49er team that Seattle beat in week 2, as well as the Seahawks are a bit different as well. The 49ers come into this game the hottest team in the NFL. And for all the talk of the bruising Seattle defense, San Fran brings it into this game as well, maybe even a tick better. Seattle may have the edge in the defensive secondary, but in every other facet of defense the 49ers are just plain brutal. Their pass rush cannot be matched even by Seattle's D, and the speed and skill of the Niner linebacking corp is unmatched. The glaring weakness that has shown up for Seattle lately has been an anemic offense. Seattle QB Russell Wilson has struggled to get anything going recently and only managed to throw for 103 yards last week against a Saint's defense that will look like a walk in the park compared to what's coming at him today. It's not all of Wilson's fault that the pass game has suffered, his receiving corp while not bad at all, does not strike fear in any of the top defenses. Without getting any separation at the line these Seahawk receivers in Tate, and Baldwin will struggle forcing Russell Wilson into some very uncomfortable and problematic situations. Look for this physical 49er defense to jam these receivers all day, which should allow them to load up against the run and at least slow down the hard charging Seattle RB Marshawn Lynch. The San Francisco offense on the other hand just has more weapons and has a QB in Colin Kapernick that is playing his best football of the season. In their first meeting Kaepernick was without his favorite safety valve receiver Michael Crabtree, this is not the case today. With Crabtree now back Kaepernick has been able to run a more potent offense and it has seemed to reboot his confidence. If there ever were any receivers that may cause this physical Seattle secondary some trouble it would be the likes of San Fran's Anquan Boldin, Vernon Davis and Crabtree. Boldin may just be the toughest WR in the league that fears no one and can go up and catch the ball with anyone and is not afraid to come across the middle and take the big hit. Davis on the other hand is a deep threat that is a match up problem for anyone. The 49ers may also have the one RB in Frank Gore that is just as bruising a runner as Seattle's Lynch is. With more offensive weapons, and an equally good ground game, the 49ers are going to score in Seattle today. The Seahawks defense can keep them in most any game, but if their offense stays stagnant like it has in recent weeks, the 49ers will put it to them. Against this 49er offense it is important for the Seattle defense to get off the field and not allow sustained drives. If they don't, even this bruising Seahawk D will be spent late in the game and get beat. I expect a hard hitting defensive battle for most of the game, but look for the 49ers to have just a little more offensively.
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