Yesterday saw us go 1-1 on the start of these playoff games, but I tell you, it was a disturbing 1-1. With a 31-10 Kansas City lead lead at halftime it looked like we were on our way to an easy win. The fact that the Chiefs picked off luck at the start of the 3rd quarter and made it 38-10 should have sealed it for us. But wait, the Colts come roaring back and outscore the Chiefs 35-9 from that point on to record a 45-44 victory. In the process KC lost 6 starting players to injuries including their star RB Jamaal Charles, and his replacement Davis. They also caused a fumble by the Colts on the goaline, but instead of that being a plus for the Chiefs, Andrew Luck just picks it up and goes in for the TD. Take nothing away from the Colts, they had no quit in them and they fought the whole game no matter the score. But I have never seen that many not only starting players, but key star players go down in a game for one team. Absolutely an amazing series of events had to happen for the Chiefs to lose that game, and well, they did and so did we. At least the Saints proved they can not only play on the road but also in the cold. Anyway, that is now the past and we look to a big day as this playoff weekend continues. These are the games we need, these are the big ones. A sweep today will go a long way in getting us back in good shape. I like our chances, so lets get it on!
For those joining us new this year as well as a reminder to last years followers, here's how I factor the wager amounts. The betting size suggested is based on a bankroll of 100 units. So if you had a bankroll of $1000 and the suggested bet was 5 units, simply divide $1000 by 100 (=$10) and multiply that by 5 (=$50). A running total will be kept of all subsequent weeks picks so that you can keep track of how well/poorly I am doing this season.
| Saturday's results : | +3.0 units won : -3.0 units lost | |
| Day's total plus 10% house vig on losses : | -0.3 units | |
| Total to date : | -28.8units |
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Cincinnati Bengals -7 over San Diego Chargers: Bet 6 units | Click Here |
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Cincinnati Bengals -7 over San Diego Chargers : Bet 6 units | Click Here |
Result:
The Bengals have been a perfect 8-0 at home this season straight up as well as against the spread as well as covering 11 out of there last 12. I have little doubt that changes today. These teams met on December 1st in San Diego with the Bengals coming away with a 17-10 win holding the Chargers to their season low point total. Playing in Cincinnati I cannot see it going any better for the Chargers considering the dominance of the Bengals at home, as a matter of fact I predict it going far worse for them. The Chargers had no answer for this dominant Bengal defense in their first meeting as they forced 3 Charger turnovers and just man handled the San Diego offense. While the Bengals while cruised into the playoffs, the Chargers struggled with consistency all season. Last week needing a win to get in to the post season the Chargers seemed to struggle mightily with that pressure in their win against a Kansas City team that played virtually nothing but the second stringers. This week the pressure is even more intense in a hostile environment. As long as Cincy's QB Andy Dalton does not revert back to throwing picks instead of TD's, I see a very one sided win by the Bengals led by a dominant defensive performance. The weather is calling for a chilly rain in Cincinnati today, and while no team looks forward to that, I believe it will hinder the Chargers a bit more. As good as Phillip Rivers has been this year, he is prone to mistakes himself in pressure situations. With a lot flying in his face today, the bad weather, tough defense, playoff pressure, being on the road, I can see him possibly trying to force the ball leading to some costly mistakes or turnovers. This seems to finally to be the year the Bengals make some noise, and it will come at the expense of the Chargers.
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San Francisco 49ers -2.5 over Green Bay Packers: Bet 8 units | Click Here |
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San Francisco 49ers -2.5 over Green Bay packers : Bet 8 units | Click Here |
Result:
If anyone has ever saw the shows put out by NFL Films you have heard how the Packers stadium in winter is referred to as the "frozen tundra of Lambeau Field". Well that is exactly what the teams will be dealing with today. The temperatures look to be far below zero with wind chills possibly setting or coming close to record lows for a game. It's not going to be fun for either team. But believe it or not this frigid weather suits the 49er team better than it does the home team Packers. With this kind of cold it's good to have a team that can ground and pound the ball and play a smashmouth defense, that is describing the 49ers to a tee. While the Packers have really stepped up their run game this year with RB's Lacy and Starks, it wasn't until Aaron Rodgers came back that this team became a real threat again. As Rodgers goes so goes the Packers. And with no real defense to speak of for Green Bay, if Rodgers can't throw the ball against the 49ers, the Packers are in for a miserable day. I don't think it will be the weather as much as the formidable 49ers pass rush that will hamper Rodgers ability to throw today. The 49ers on the other hand have proven they have no problem moving the ball in recent meetings against the Packers. In the last 3 games these teams have met, the 49ers have won and covered the spread and have averaged 483.3 yards per game while scoring at least 30 points in each contest. The Packers just don't have the defense enough to stop all the offensive weapons of San Fran. Led by QB Colin Kaepernick the 49ers have the ability to run the ball effectively with RB Frank Gore and Kaeperinick himself, or throw it down field to the likes of Boldin, Crabtree, and Davis. San Francisco has the unique ability to stop Green Bay's potent offense in two manners. Either with their bruising smothering defense, or with a balanced ball controlling offense keeping Aaron Rodgers and Co. off the field. There are just too many ways for the 49ers to take control of this game for it not to similar to the last 3 games these teams have played against each other. The 49ers could very well be the best team in the NFL right now, and a team with no real defense regardless of how great their quarterback is, won't be beating them today.
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